Friday, November 9, 2012

Why that business had to close shop

Guest post by Samuel G. Njenga

My good friend James is quite observant. Around mid-2008 he was living in Umoja. Back then there were so many buildings (flats) coming up within that estate. He could occasionally observe what was happening in those sites. During the casting of the slabs (koroga), the fundis would have some hand operated machinery (concrete mixers, poker vibrators and concrete hoists) to make work easier and cast the slabs faster. Back then before the advent of the hand operated machinery, casting a slab was quite a task; what with erecting temporary stairs with wooden posts and mabatis and positioning strong men on the stairs. Concrete would be mixed by hand and put in karais, then the karais were passed on from one workman to another till they reach the slab level. This was tedious, wasteful, time consuming and required a huge workforce. The simple machines helped a great deal.

James thought it was a nice idea to acquire such machines because the rates were not that bad. One day he decided he’ll acquire an unsecured loan of 300k from a bank and purchase the machines. He started with the two (concrete mixer and Poker Vibrator) and decided that the cash generated from the two would eventually help him acquire the more costly concrete hoist. Back then a concrete mixer was costing 250k, poker vibrator 40k and the hoist 400k. The charges per working day irrespective of the number of hours the machines run were 3k for the two he bought. When having 3 of them, the charges were 7k. The net income per day would be approx. 2k or 4.5k when you factor in transport, fuel and operator fees.
What convinced James that it was a worthwhile business was the fact that if you get 15 working days in a month, then the earnings would be 30k per month. Notice the impressive ROI of 10 months. In his own estimation in 20 months or so, the revenue from the two machines would comfortably purchase the third machine at 400k. The 3rd machine would really boost his income.

James bought the 2 machines from a supplier somewhere around City Stadium. He went ahead and looked for two operators (they are in plenty in Umoja) and entrusted them with the business. The operators convinced him that they’d get business because they knew the fundis who would ordinarily require their services. During the first week of operation, James only got business once on a Saturday; a day when the demand for the machines is usually highest. He realized that he had one big challenge; transporting the machines to sites. Trouble was that the pick-ups for hire would charge around KES 1000 for every delivery to and from site and that was within the estate; much more outside the estate. Notice that this reduces his earnings by 50%, so his net earnings would be 1k. He thought that it’ll get better if at least he’d get an average of 4 days a week. Bearing in mind that the business was still new, he had hopes that customers will come flooding.
During the second week, he also only got a client on Saturday. By end of the 1st month of operation, he had 5 days of working and a total earning of 5k.

The second month started much better than the first and within 2 weeks he got 5 days of work and that was encouraging. His biggest issue was how he’d get a cheap pick-up to ferry the machines but he realized it’d take quite some time with the kind of earnings the business was generating. Unfortunately, he did not have more cash to acquire a pick-up. The second month was not that bad bacause he managed 14 days.

The 3rd month also started very well because by then his operators had passed word around that his machines were new and hence chances of breakdown were minimal. Breakdowns in this kind of business are a common problem. Unfortunately midway the 3rd month, the concrete mixer broke down. That was quite strange because the machine was barely new. When one of the operators called the mechanic who repairs those machines, the mechanic observed something that made James to almost jump out of his skin. According to the mechanic, his checks confirmed that the engine of the mixer was not new, in fact he noted that it was only the body that was new but the engine had only been repainted. In his own words, the machine must have been at least 3 years old. What a shocker for James. The mechanic recommended that instead of struggling with the junk engine he could assist James get a new engine, a model called Lister Petter from UK whose lifetime is at least 8 years. James realized that he was actually conned. This is Nairobi for you! Trouble was he could not afford to buy another engine at that point in time. The mechanic however repaired it and it worked for 2 weeks or so and failed again. When he was giving this story it reminded me of a day as a teenager who was very new in Nairobi I ended up buying a SONQ radio thinking it is a SONY.

After several days of soul searching and reflecting on the problems he was facing, James threw in the towel and sold the concrete mixer for 90k and the poker vibrator for 30k. “Business is not for the faint hearted”, he said. He thought that he’ll never attempt another business; he basically gave up.

Isn't it obvious why he failed?

Let’s see what he got wrong:

1.      He did not seem to have understood the business; it is an idea he just saw and went for. Notice the glaring misses that included wrong expectation on returns. He never got his facts right. Then he ought to have carefully thought through the processes of the business including the transport bit; maybe he thought clients organize for the transport but surely he should have confirmed. He ought to have talked to an investor in that business and not a machine operator. This is a common mistake we make when starting a business. The people already in that business have a wealth of info; unless yours is a totally new business idea.
2.      He bought an old machine thinking it was new. If he engaged the mechanic at the point of acquisition for a small fee, the mechanic would have probably advised him on which one to buy and where. Another common mistake; we often fail to engage professional in the respective fields we put our money in.
3.      He set up the business at the wrong location. Like where I stay, the two machines have much higher returns because they’re not as many as in Umoja. Location is extremely crucial for some business. In fact for particular businesses, it is the most important thing.
4.      His business was under-capitalized. Notice that if he had a pick up and the hoist, he’d generate an income of approx. 8k per outing.
5.      Why do I suspect that the operators would even get jobs and fail to inform James especially because he was an 8 to 5 guy? I think in the evening when they met their peers, they’d say “tumepata kafala hakajuangi nini kinaendelea”. More often than not we trust people to run our businesses without performing proper due diligence on them. Sometimes they are our relatives whom we think have our interests at heart. For this type of business trust is very important a factor.
6.      He failed to manage risks properly. Notice that he got stuck when the engine failed. Each business has risks and we are better off having mitigation strategies against those risks.

Each business is unique and failures would vary depending on the business. Each failure must however be treated as a learning experience.
Interestingly, my friend James mentioned that business he wanted planning to venture (import and sale of finishing items for houses). I think he has overcome the fear of failure. I am also very sure, he’ll plan better and understand the business better. My gut feeling is that he shall succeed this time round. After all his mentor is also in that business, so he’ll draw lots of advice from him.

Next lesson will be on traits of successful entrepreneurs. Do you have them? If not, can they be acquired?

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